👋🏻 Hey guys! In today’s video, I explain how to win at Roulette 93% of the time using the Martingale strategy. Roulette is one of the easiest casino games to play and understand. We will go over the Martingale strategy to win at roulette and I will explain mathematically whether it is recommended or not. This is for European Roulette but will also work for American Roulette although with slightly worse odds. Hope you guys can find it insightful but be careful about betting any money.
I wanted to make this video because I really think its important for people to understand how the maths works behind betting – it is not a game of luck but rather a game with a quantifiable edge for the casino or house with an element of variance. Of course when you start off with mathematical betting, there will be a bit of a steep learning curve. The same mathematical principles can be applied to sports betting where I have a 5 part course to teach you the strategies I use when betting with Australian bookmakers.
If you enjoy this video and want to see more about sports betting, finance or university life, please leave a comment down below saying what you would like to see next and any new video ideas are always appreciated!
🙋🏻♂️ Who am I?
My name is Shane and I am an Australian final year student studying Engineering and Commerce at The University of Sydney and I completed the HSC in 2017 with an ATAR of 99.90. This channel is dedicated to sports betting, money and academics. I hope you can find this useful! Enjoy!
today i will show you a strategy that will guarantee you come out of the casino profitable 93 of the time playing roulette this strategy is called the martingale strategy and i’ll be explaining how it works mathematically and whether you should be using it or not so you might have heard of roulette seen it being played in the movies or even played it yourself it is one of the most popular games in the casino and the reason for it is well founded punters love it because it’s easy to play and the house edge is reasonably small the casinos accept this relatively small edge because they know it’s a luck-based game and therefore their edge is easily quantifiable how it works is you can bet on colors categories of numbers like odds or evens high or low or a group of numbers like 1 2 3 or individual numbers like 5. the numbers are labeled 1 to 36 18 of these are red and 18 of these are black as such the odds for these 50 50 bets is simply two if you bet fifty dollars you can get a return of one hundred where you profit fifty dollars or you just lose your fifty dollars the odds reflect how likely you are to win so if you bet on individual numbers like betting on 5 then your odds would be 36. this sounds pretty fair right well not quite there’s one more number the 37th number and that is the number zero and if it lands on zero no bet whether it was placed on red black or any of the numbers between 1 to 36 inclusive then that bet would just naturally lose unless your bet was actually on the number zero itself this is how the house or the casino has an edge let’s say you bet on red where the odds are too or there’s a one to one payout now instead of a 50 chance of winning assuming there are only 36 numbers there’s only 18 red numbers and 19 non-red numbers in this case with the extra zero and therefore your chances of winning are now 18 over 37 or 48.6 percent this doesn’t seem very fair so how can we use martingale to manipulate the statistics and increase our chances of winning martingale is a strategy of sizing up in a methodical manner doubling down after a losing bet and stopping after you’ve hit a win let’s see how it works with an example say i have 150 dollars from the rest of my paycheck and i’m taking 150 to the casino to bet on roulette to follow the martingale strategy for my first bet i’ll bet 10 on one of those roughly 50 50 events for example betting on red betting on black betting on high numbers betting on even numbers like that now the dollar amount is important 10 is exactly 1 over 15 of my entire bankroll because my entire bankroll is one hundred and fifty dollars so i’ll be betting ten dollars if i started off with a bankroll of three hundred dollars then i would start off with a bet of twenty dollars betting this proportion is important as it allows us to sustain a four-step martingale process which is what actually gets us the 93 chance of winning so for my first bet 18 of the 37 possible outcomes are red which is what will make me win my bet and that equates to an 18 divided by 37 which is a 48.6 chance of a win remember this is not 50 because there are 18 red 18 black and the extra zero square which represents the house edge the other outcome which has a 19 over 37 chance or 51.4 percent would cause us to lose our bet if the first bet is a win then the martingale strategy will tell us to stop and because we bet ten dollars from that bet we would have made ten dollars in profit and cash out there now what if we lose the first bit well no problem let’s just double down this time we’re betting not ten dollars but this time we’re betting 20 or twice as much as we were betting before again we can choose any event that has an 18 over 37 chance of happening for example betting on red again or we can pick something else like betting on low numbers like the numbers 1 to 18 as there’s no correlation between the first event happening and what the second event is going to be however for simplicity we’ll just assume we’re continuing to bet on the color red again there’s a 48.6 chance that there will be a win and if that happens the martingale strategy will tell us to stop therefore from this 20 bet we’re going to make 20 in profit and we made a 10 loss from our first bet so therefore our net profit is 20 minus 10 or again 10 again there’s the same 51.4 percent chance of a loss but it doesn’t hit red or whatever we chose to bet on in this case we have lost two packs but no worries we’ll double down once more this time betting twice what we bet before so not twenty dollars but forty dollars this time once again there’s a forty eight point six percent chance that we will win if that happens the mining girl strategy tells us to stop and therefore we make forty dollars profit from this bet which covers our 20 loss from the previous bet and the 10 loss from the bet before so now our net profit is once again 40 minus 20 minus 10 which is 10 once more and we’ll cash out if it results in a loss which is once again a 51.4 percent chance then no problems would double down once more without remaining 80 dollars if it hits the 48.6 chance of a win then we make a profit of eighty dollars covering the forty dollar loss twenty dollar loss and ten dollar loss from the bets before giving us once more a net profit of ten dollars that we can take away so as we can see the only situation where we lose money is actually when we lose four of these bets in a row which has a 51.4 percent chance to the power of four chance of happening this equates to only a six point nine five percent chance of occurring and therefore the probability of us winning is 1 minus this number which is 93.05 percent so now you can be confident of leaving the casino with a win 93 of the time so would i recommend this strategy to you guys absolutely not the strategy might look very very promising but there’s another layer of math behind it that proves it’s just complete dog in the case that we do lose we’re not losing ten dollars but instead we’re getting wiped out as we’ve lost ten dollars twenty dollars forty dollars and eighty dollars for a net loss of one hundred and fifty dollars therefore if we do the expected value calculation which shows how much expected value we can expect if we do this bet in the long run and the formula for that i explained in one of my previous videos our expected value is 93 times 10 positive minus 6.95 times negative 150 dollars and as we can see this number is negative which means it’s not going to be profitable in the long run this goes to show that we still can’t beat the casino house edge all we’ve really done is synthetically increase our chances of winning but by doing this we’ve now left ourselves exposed to a huge potential loss it’s very similar to betting on for example nadal to be a round one opponent in the french open where the chances of winning are very high but you’d make a very small amount compared to how much you can actually lose so what can you actually do to beat the casino if you are super smart then maybe you can be like this mathematician and use physics to predict the trajectory of the ball and calculate where it will likely end up or the area around where it will likely end up on the roulette table just after it’s been released or be like phil ivey one of the top poker players who used edge sorting to spot small differences on the back of the cards and gain an advantage however you still gotta get away with this as even though phil ivey managed to win a lot he eventually ended up getting banned and then sued and he had to pay back all his winnings for what he did while i can’t beat the casino if you want to learn more about the profitable strategies that i use to beat the sports books and betting sites in australia you can take a look at my sports betting course link and everything is in the description below more details are in the link in the description below where i teach you everything i do using tools and excel models to show you how you can become a better sports bettor and make money from australian bookmakers so that’s the basics of the martingale strategy and how we can apply it to something like the roulette table if you enjoyed this video then make sure to give it a big like down below and subscribe to this channel to not miss out on my other betting and money making tips that i have lined up as always take care and i’ll see you guys in the next video
I tried it, first time when i was playing red, black appeared 8 times in a row. Another day when i was playing black, it was Red-red-red-red-GREEN-red-red-red.
So guys, keep your money in your pockets and stay at home. BEST ADVICE.
There are MANY MANY reasons why this will not work and I will explain why . . . #1 Here in the US (where i live), every single casino near me has a mininum bet of $25, which makes this system virtually impossible to use unless you have a multi-million dollar bank roll. #2 Here in the US (where i live), there is not a single zero on the wheel. There are TWO zeros on the wheel. At first, this does not sound like a big deal, but when your wheel comes up 0 or 00 several times in a row, you will be schooled. #3 Here in the US (where i live, because by now you must have guessed, I could care less where you live), many casinos enforce a maximum bet on those areas of the wheel you are referring to in the video. #4 Never play online because you cannot verify the online casino you are using will be honest. There are many, many other reasons why this system will fail, but those are the top 4.
Actually, just betting on the same number again and again until this number comes up has a lower expected loss than the martingale strategy. (in casinos with 35 to 1 payout on a number and one zero in the game) In your example with a 10$ bet the expected loss would be 27 cents rather than over a dollar.
ROFL, I watched this thinking who is this idiot talking complete BS? He seems to be smart and he's talking BS about mathematically beating a roulette table. Then the end comes, lol, it was a great clickbait story but happy I watched it to hear you explain the reality. Even though this was clearly a long sales pitch for your courses, I "bet" I'm better than you be it trading or betting on sports, but then again, I don't get an income from selling courses so there is that I guess. 🙂
The thing is you don't have to place your bet always on red or on black. You can do it alternatively as you wish. Since the payout on black or red is double, it won't affect you. This method is far better than throwing all of the 150 dollars down the drain in one chance
Lowering your start value so you have a longer leg (more redo chance). If you start with $5 then you’ll have 5 chances and if you start with $2 then you’ll have a 6 chances to redeem your loses
Sir, hello, I'm Shehab, I developed a method that can assure an almost 93% chance of winning as the method you showed in the video. my take is at a 38 number roulette table, 1 through 36, 0 and double 0 (0 and 00). my way is to bet on 35 numbers out of the 38 numbers, that gives us a chance of winning at 1 through 35, while losing at 36, 0 and 00. we set an equalizer bet to start, the equalizer bet is used to determine what would we face, if the equalizer bet is a $100 per number, the total bet over the equalizer is $3,500. also this way we have to get a table to our own, where we tell the dealer not to take the losses over the bets but we give in the losses from our stacks. A big problem to my strategy (and it's a major flow) is to have a great bankroll where you can have a streak of 7 consecutive losses in a row with no wins. Also, the equalizer bet is not calculated over this bet, so you may have to add that bet over the bankroll, a bankroll of $35,000 might get over by the equalizer to $38,500 total amount. starting now: placing bets on 1 through 35 leaving 36, 0, 00 is a mandatory step. assume winning the first roll; that means that you got $100 for a win. 38 numbers minus 35 is the left outs : bets made 34 of them lose, 1 bet wins 35x the amount bet, so 35 x $100 = $3,500 $3,500 (wins) – $3,400 (loss) = $100 in profit. over 35 times winning you doubled your equalizer bet. if so, you can walk out with the wins or stick around for another round of win.
Who wants to double their money in a month depending on amount starts from 5k,10k+…make 10k counts 20k at the end of the month if interested comment down below
Martingale only works if you have infi te of mo ey so you can double in infinity and if you do have infinite of money there is no reqson to play Martingale. If studied curves of all systems. They are all loosers. Some faster and some more s'ow down curve, marti gale is for complete newbies. Try Martingale with 32 red num ers a row. You will in the end bet an astronomicaly sum to win one unit. In the end you may perhaps et 1000000 to win one dollar. Wluld you sell that idea to anyone? Its idioti ally. Its grade 1. If you at least me tioned reversed martingale which is as crappy but just take longer time to loose all your money. Fibbonacchi, Dalambert, Martingale every single system dont work for ever. There is simulations of those thi gs. There is people wit such staff of elite matemathians, simulation programs and statistics, do t you think they could simulate 100 0000000 dealing if they want. This is their job. You are up agi st such knowledge and equipment. Dont teach people Martingale. Its Rookies and wipe your ass with your money unstead of wasting time or do it for 15 mu utes, get plus profit a d never play again. Taaada. You beated the casino 🙂 People in teh third world lingi g for go to school and learning math. They have bo bions, distance is long, no teachers, no buildings. But yiu BET YOU BET they will be first a d last he from Math lesson when we put a fi ger to our math-classes, and end up nowhere. This video should have ended. "-This, as just a joke, send your money to those whom appreciate s hool and math insted. Better to wipe you asw, with bills instead of playing this. Then the money had a function at least. What the fuck is wrong with you? You dont know anything about this. You are in first class and teaching crap you came up with. Go to library and study some math and statistics and do something useful. Everyone knows Martingale doesnt work. Have you seen a professional Martingale player never get brook. Cringe dude.
I tried it, first time when i was playing red, black appeared 8 times in a row. Another day when i was playing black, it was Red-red-red-red-GREEN-red-red-red.
So guys, keep your money in your pockets and stay at home. BEST ADVICE.
Martingale. O. M. G.
There are MANY MANY reasons why this will not work and I will explain why . . .
#1 Here in the US (where i live), every single casino near me has a mininum bet of $25, which makes this system virtually impossible to use unless you have a multi-million dollar bank roll.
#2 Here in the US (where i live), there is not a single zero on the wheel. There are TWO zeros on the wheel. At first, this does not sound like a big deal, but when your wheel comes up 0 or 00 several times in a row, you will be schooled.
#3 Here in the US (where i live, because by now you must have guessed, I could care less where you live), many casinos enforce a maximum bet on those areas of the wheel you are referring to in the video.
#4 Never play online because you cannot verify the online casino you are using will be honest.
There are many, many other reasons why this system will fail, but those are the top 4.
So 93% of winning $10, then 7% of losing $150. Seems like not a good system
Important factor u missed are the minimum and maximum bets which make this method obsolete
U will never beat the casino
Martingale is the worst strategy
To win at roulette, buy stock in a corporation that owns a casino making you the house.
Actually, just betting on the same number again and again until this number comes up has a lower expected loss than the martingale strategy. (in casinos with 35 to 1 payout on a number and one zero in the game) In your example with a 10$ bet the expected loss would be 27 cents rather than over a dollar.
Bro believe me, I have created this strategy a month ago. Believe me plz
thats why you have to play 2 times on red 2 times on black
U forgot…. After you lose the $150, you bet $160 after and it'll for sure hit
my casino has 00 section so a slightly higher chance of losing
Lol, about 10 years ago i lost 300 Euros in one hour doing this "strategy" betting 1 dollar bets… got same color 7 or 8 times 😅
ROFL, I watched this thinking who is this idiot talking complete BS? He seems to be smart and he's talking BS about mathematically beating a roulette table. Then the end comes, lol, it was a great clickbait story but happy I watched it to hear you explain the reality. Even though this was clearly a long sales pitch for your courses, I "bet" I'm better than you be it trading or betting on sports, but then again, I don't get an income from selling courses so there is that I guess. 🙂
Nice video, let's spread alt ways of making profit! Mine is working great. Ask me how 👈
23 times Red…gone 6 lac
All the risk for $10 lol
The thing is you don't have to place your bet always on red or on black. You can do it alternatively as you wish. Since the payout on black or red is double, it won't affect you. This method is far better than throwing all of the 150 dollars down the drain in one chance
Don’t work.stay well clear of this strategy.
Verry good tack tik won £500 in like an hour but then lost it all + another 500 so not the best idea to get into
Lowering your start value so you have a longer leg (more redo chance). If you start with $5 then you’ll have 5 chances and if you start with $2 then you’ll have a 6 chances to redeem your loses
Had 100$, Used your strategy.. I don't have 100$ anymore lol I have Zero..
Not your fault, just bad luck .
I was thinking more complicated,
If you add to the bank you have automatically you're winnings, and go for the 1/15 everytime isn't more valuable EV ?
Intersting, any kind of edge on the casino is helpful – liked & subscribed
Sir, hello,
I'm Shehab, I developed a method that can assure an almost 93% chance of winning as the method you showed in the video.
my take is at a 38 number roulette table, 1 through 36, 0 and double 0 (0 and 00).
my way is to bet on 35 numbers out of the 38 numbers, that gives us a chance of winning at 1 through 35, while losing at 36, 0 and 00.
we set an equalizer bet to start, the equalizer bet is used to determine what would we face, if the equalizer bet is a $100 per number, the total bet over the equalizer is $3,500.
also this way we have to get a table to our own, where we tell the dealer not to take the losses over the bets but we give in the losses from our stacks.
A big problem to my strategy (and it's a major flow) is to have a great bankroll where you can have a streak of 7 consecutive losses in a row with no wins. Also, the equalizer bet is not calculated over this bet, so you may have to add that bet over the bankroll, a bankroll of $35,000 might get over by the equalizer to $38,500 total amount.
starting now:
placing bets on 1 through 35 leaving 36, 0, 00 is a mandatory step.
assume winning the first roll; that means that you got $100 for a win. 38 numbers minus 35 is the left outs : bets made 34 of them lose, 1 bet wins 35x the amount bet, so 35 x $100 = $3,500
$3,500 (wins) – $3,400 (loss) = $100 in profit.
over 35 times winning you doubled your equalizer bet.
if so, you can walk out with the wins or stick around for another round of win.
Who wants to double their money in a month depending on amount starts from 5k,10k+…make 10k counts 20k at the end of the month if interested comment down below
I believe the Casino always Wins tbh😂
good luck finding a single zero wheel with a $10 min bet.
Hi Shane, would you be interested in a “Zero less” Roulette ?🕺
93 percent means your a lose 7 percent of the time
Pointless video
Martingale only works if you have infi te of mo ey so you can double in infinity and if you do have infinite of money there is no reqson to play Martingale. If studied curves of all systems. They are all loosers. Some faster and some more s'ow down curve, marti gale is for complete newbies. Try Martingale with 32 red num ers a row. You will in the end bet an astronomicaly sum to win one unit. In the end you may perhaps et 1000000 to win one dollar. Wluld you sell that idea to anyone? Its idioti ally. Its grade 1. If you at least me tioned reversed martingale which is as crappy but just take longer time to loose all your money. Fibbonacchi, Dalambert, Martingale every single system dont work for ever. There is simulations of those thi gs. There is people wit such staff of elite matemathians, simulation programs and statistics, do t you think they could simulate 100 0000000 dealing if they want. This is their job. You are up agi st such knowledge and equipment. Dont teach people Martingale. Its Rookies and wipe your ass with your money unstead of wasting time or do it for 15 mu utes, get plus profit a d never play again. Taaada. You beated the casino 🙂 People in teh third world lingi g for go to school and learning math. They have bo bions, distance is long, no teachers, no buildings. But yiu BET YOU BET they will be first a d last he from Math lesson when we put a fi ger to our math-classes, and end up nowhere. This video should have ended. "-This, as just a joke, send your money to those whom appreciate s hool and math insted. Better to wipe you asw, with bills instead of playing this. Then the money had a function at least. What the fuck is wrong with you? You dont know anything about this. You are in first class and teaching crap you came up with. Go to library and study some math and statistics and do something useful. Everyone knows Martingale doesnt work. Have you seen a professional Martingale player never get brook. Cringe dude.